I have many ideas about how we can improve our world.
Two of these are bees which buzz loudly in my “bonnet”.
#1 The conversion of all bureaucracies into sustainable and robust democratic entities.
#2 Double or Triple the Biological Productivity of the Oceans.
Changing bureaucracies to democracies
In my opinion if we take seriously Karl Popper’s explanation of the relative success of democracy then we need to put its underlying implications clearly, then start working on how to change the world!
The starkest way to say this is: Any organisation or social structure which is not overtly a democracy is, or will become, entrenched authoritarian and, either overtly or covertly, a dictatorship of some sort. Authoritarian social entities, be they boy scout groups, private or public companies, established churches, organised crime syndicates, armies, or government agencies, all achieve their authoritarian control by disempowering the maximum number of people that have anything to do with them. This means that people – particularly the disempowered – are treated as things rather than equal others and this is the very essence of evil.
I have come to the conclusion that authoritarianism is possibly the single most evil legacy from the pre scientific universe.
The thing is, it implies that bureaucracy per se is evil. Many people will smile and say “Of course! Just look what happens; just look at the way bureaucracies stuff things up all the time!” I would certainly never deny this. Other people will weep however because they have experienced more of the deep frustration and powerlessness that corporate entities can inflict. Many more will neither smile nor weep, they just shrug and say: “Don’t bother, there is no way anybody is going to listen to you; don’t waste your breath, don’t waste your time trying to change things in this place because you can’t beat the system.”
Why is this so?
Karl Popper’s reasoning about forms of government led him to see the fundamental problem with non democratic social structures is that they cannot deal fairly and effectively with the unforeseen negative consequences of laws or policies. Furthermore, the underlying reason for this is that nobody knows the future.
I have seen a honcho shake her head at this idea – that nobody knows the future, but I’m sure that being female had nothing to do with it. I think many of our leaders and corporate superstars will want to assert that ‘we *can* make reasonable predictions!’ and this is true, after all that is what they are highly paid for. Popper’s insight though is that, no matter how good the policy, there will always be unforeseen consequences because in any particular situation there will always be more things that can happen then we want to occur, and very often there will be more things that can happen, sooner or later, than we can possibly know about before the event. And as KP pointed out there is as much chance of an unforeseen outcome being negative in effect for some one or more people as there is of being positive.
‘So what?’ you ask, and the answer is simple: any unexpected positive outcome is a bonus proudly adopted by the authors of the policy if ever they hear about it, but negative outcomes are not so easily acknowledged by those in charge. This is true not just for those at the top of a command structure but usually applies right down the ladder also because nobody likes to give their boss bad news. Even in the most benign of organisations something not going right with the system means extra work for whoever ‘touched it last’.
Is anyone to blame for this?
It will always be possible to point the finger in particular situations and of course the practise of hanging scapegoats ‘out to dry’ is a time honoured way of shifting the wrathful gaze of the god-like ones onto a sacrificial offering. Popper’s great contribution to our understanding of this though is to point out that unforeseen negative consequences of policies are inevitable. Modern science has the concept of entropy which states that within any closed system the amount of energy not available to do useful work always increases. Not many systems are totally enclosed though. The wider implication is that within any system we have to do with, good order and useful energy can only be maintained or increased if the overall disorder of the environment [ie the rest of the world] is increased.
Luckily for us the universe is a very big place and is expanding all the time. Even more lucky for us is that we live on a planet near a star we call the Sun which provides a continuous flow of light and heat towards us which is more than enough energy to provide for our needs for the next billion years or so. What this means is that if we act in a reasonably intelligent manner we should pretty much always be able to deal effectively and fairly with the unforeseen negative consequences of our actions and policies.
What this requires though is that we always work together and help each other wherever and whenever this is feasible. Cynics may smirk and call this idealistic but I maintain that it is the fundamental basis of human success. Indeed the very genius of our species, is precisely our ability to work together and help each other. I would give it the status of a natural law!
to be continued …
Radically increasing the biological productivity of the oceans
This can be achieved through the creation of artificial upwellings of deep water at or near whatever locations the increase is required to occur. The reason artificial upwellings can cause the increase of biological productivity in the ocean is because surface water of the deep oceans becomes depleted of nutrients as micro algae, AKA phytoplankton, absorb whatever they can out of the water. Phytoplankton are found mainly in the surface layers of ocean water because, of course, they need sunlight for the photosynthesis which powers their growth. Sunlight however is absorbed by sea water such that 90% of it is removed for each 75 metres it penetrates. This means only 1% of sunlight entering vertically in the tropics can reach 150 metres depth.
A fundamental difference between the deep ocean and dry land, apart from the wetness of the water, is what happens when animals expel wastes from their bodies. In summary: in the ocean shit sinks! So also do any uneaten body parts that don’t float. This is altogether different from dry land where faeces falls to the surface where it can be washed into the soil by rain or rolled into balls by dung beetles, etc.
Of course rivers and creeks carry nutrients from islands and continents into the oceans and also there are submarine volcanoes and mid ocean spreading centres where hot rocks are exposed and water brings out dissolved minerals. But most of the ocean is hundreds or thousands of kilometres away from dry land, and the photic zone – where sufficient light penetrates to support photosynthesis is on average about 4 kilometres above the sea floor.
The natural processes which take nutrient laden deep, cold, water up to the photic zone are upwellings caused by cyclonic wind systems, and by winds interacting with shorelines, and by deep currents impinging on islands and continental shelf. Human beings can fairly easily induce artificial upwellings by making use of natural wave motions and/or the power of the wind. Small and localised upwellings can be produced using a pipe, with a one-way foot valve, hanging down from a buoy on the surface. Wave motion alone will raise and lower the pipe causing a pumping action which brings deep water to the surface. This has been demonstrated to work causing an increase of phytoplankton where the deep water mixes with the warmer surface water.
A much bigger upwelling could be created using wind driven barges, pontoons, or other mechanisms that are driven in convoy around an endless circle. The circulating convoy will create a gyre at the surface resulting in the circulating water moving away from the circle due to its tangential inertia. Water from below will be drawn up to replace the outward flowing surface water and this arrangement could be increased in size to create upwellings of enormous extent. On the other hand many smaller upwellings using this method could be made to create a current of cooler, nutrient rich water such as, for example, could perhaps protect coral reefs from bleaching.
It is also quite feasible that large scale artificial upwellings in the areas of the tropics where tropical cyclones, taiphoons, and hurricanes are born could could reduce the numbers of such storm systems which, otherwise, are increasing around the world both in strength and frequency. IMO there is potential here to save many thousands of lives and reduce the amount of damage which is set to increase greatly this century as a direct consequence of global warming.